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Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only


Paul
Message added by ChrisSilver

This topic is to discuss price action in GBP, to discuss price action in $ USD, please see this topic: https://thesilverforum.com/topic/19962-gold-monitoring-thread-usd-only/

📌 For general non PM chat there is the Hangout topic here: 

 

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2 hours ago, Chronos said:

Buffet done well for himself too

Screenshot_20240805-192233_Brave.jpg

Central bankers are politicians disguised as economists or bankers. They’re either incompetent or liars. So, either way, you’re never going to get a valid answer.” - Peter Schiff

Sound money is not a guarantee of a free society, but a free society is impossible without sound money. We are currently a society enslaved by debt.
 
If you are a new member and want to know why we stack PMs look at this link https://www.thesilverforum.com/topic/56131-videos-of-significance/#comment-381454
 
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2 minutes ago, HerefordBullyun said:

Buffet done well for himself too

Screenshot_20240805-192233_Brave.jpg

It's almost as if he had insider knowledge...

The closer the collapse of an Empire, the crazier it's laws - Marcus Tullius Cicero

We had the warning in 2006-9 but central banks ignored it and just added new worthless debt to existing worthless debt to create worthless debt squared – an obvious recipe for disaster. - Egon von Greyerz

https://www.thesilverforum.com/topic/83864-uk-bank-regulations/

 

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1 minute ago, Chronos said:

A Close Below 5,255 Today Triggers $77 Billion In Global CTA Selling:

https://archive.is/0wHu1

Currently at 5,203

The closer the collapse of an Empire, the crazier it's laws - Marcus Tullius Cicero

We had the warning in 2006-9 but central banks ignored it and just added new worthless debt to existing worthless debt to create worthless debt squared – an obvious recipe for disaster. - Egon von Greyerz

https://www.thesilverforum.com/topic/83864-uk-bank-regulations/

 

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14 minutes ago, Chronos said:

German economic output plummets, debt hits record high:

https://rmx.news/article/german-economic-output-plummets-debt-hits-record-high/

 

 

Now I understand why we've been asked to make savings at work...

The closer the collapse of an Empire, the crazier it's laws - Marcus Tullius Cicero

We had the warning in 2006-9 but central banks ignored it and just added new worthless debt to existing worthless debt to create worthless debt squared – an obvious recipe for disaster. - Egon von Greyerz

https://www.thesilverforum.com/topic/83864-uk-bank-regulations/

 

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image.png.3e796485fe612303a767bd53e04e0421.png

Central bankers are politicians disguised as economists or bankers. They’re either incompetent or liars. So, either way, you’re never going to get a valid answer.” - Peter Schiff

Sound money is not a guarantee of a free society, but a free society is impossible without sound money. We are currently a society enslaved by debt.
 
If you are a new member and want to know why we stack PMs look at this link https://www.thesilverforum.com/topic/56131-videos-of-significance/#comment-381454
 
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image.png.c24beb06fd4568bdbdf145957b5fbf7a.png

Central bankers are politicians disguised as economists or bankers. They’re either incompetent or liars. So, either way, you’re never going to get a valid answer.” - Peter Schiff

Sound money is not a guarantee of a free society, but a free society is impossible without sound money. We are currently a society enslaved by debt.
 
If you are a new member and want to know why we stack PMs look at this link https://www.thesilverforum.com/topic/56131-videos-of-significance/#comment-381454
 
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1 hour ago, Chronos said:

Doubt that will happen. At new/recent adjusted price levels, year to date S&P500 up around 10%, Japan down around -5%, UK up around 4%.

The oddity was how high/fast things had risen. The Fed should have perhaps increased rates more in the first half of 2024 to slow that, in not having done so its induced a self imposed recession.

Edited by Bratnia
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48 minutes ago, HerefordBullyun said:

image.png.c24beb06fd4568bdbdf145957b5fbf7a.png

Of which around 8Tn is foreign held (27Bn is domestic). Around 25% of GDP owed in external debt. A household with a 50K/year income ...owing 12.5K externally, and the rest internally ... mum owes dad 37.5K. A non-issue, could be resolved with just a internal debt restructuring exercise.

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30 minutes ago, Chronos said:

5,186.33 at close

Ooooooooh shiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii**** !

The closer the collapse of an Empire, the crazier it's laws - Marcus Tullius Cicero

We had the warning in 2006-9 but central banks ignored it and just added new worthless debt to existing worthless debt to create worthless debt squared – an obvious recipe for disaster. - Egon von Greyerz

https://www.thesilverforum.com/topic/83864-uk-bank-regulations/

 

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18 minutes ago, theman73 said:

Nikkei up 10% today

Seem all was in fact another greedy money grabbing exercise from the man in suits.

Close all market, arrest all traders.

Markets will always go up and down. 

Yesterday was a gift to us all who wanted to do some shopping 😁

Edit: not necessarily for the Nikkei never traded that in my life 

Edited by modofantasma
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6 minutes ago, modofantasma said:

Markets will always go up and down. 

Yesterday was a gift to us all who wanted to do some shopping 😁

One metric I maintain uses Robert Lichello's AIM, but applied to the S&P500 real price instead of nominal price. Paper traded monthly, to yield a end of year % cash to start the next year with (rest in stocks).

6.png

Historically has yielded a better reward than 100% total stock market (TSM) and done so with less volatility (largely due to being more like 50/50 average stock/cash, but where at times may be 70% cash, at other times all-in stock), which transposes to a higher SWR

1-PM.png

4-PM.png

Fundamentally that is indicting that US stocks are over-extended, and in reflection of that its built up a decent cash reserve to buy into the next dip/drop as and when that occurs.

Yesterdays declines ... didn't even register (no 'buy' (add) signal flagged).

I recall in the past when 8% type daily up or down moves were just accepted as 'normal' (1980's). Much of stock rewards above 'safe' assets (cash) were based on that volatility (that some consider to be 'risk'). Without that volatility then presumably rewards would also decline. Volatility shouldn't be feared, but welcomed. It's only a risk if you lump large amounts in/out of the market at single points in time. Average in/out over many years and the volatility washes out.

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