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KDave

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  1. Like
    KDave reacted to Stacktastic in My first trade - Shell / BP   
    Yeah BP makes total sense (do you get the pun 😛 ). I think I will stick with them as Bernard is sound, plus they are very proactive at going green, so you get the best of both worlds over 10 years or more, plus a higher dividend again at some point. I want to transition profits from bull cycle stocks and growth stocks to high dividend, emerging market & blue chips over the next 20 years. 

    As this is a general trading thread now - I found an amazing site today.  https://www.finviz.com I bet this is commonly used TBH. 
    I want to dip my toe into day trading as I think I would be good at it, plus it distracts me from the madness outside. 

    Anyhow I noticed that IBM lost 10% share price today as they have not met thier earning predictions. 
    Solid company well adapted for a long term hold for the ai future we are going into (plus they have global scale), so I don't care if it tanks. 
    I have bought one share at a whopping £85 near the bottom (my smallest investment).  
    With another buy 1 share order if it goes lower. 

    Lets see what happens over the next day or week. Im expecting it to go up at least, the candles are looking really good on the upside. 
    I am not a fan of being in the NASDAQ at all TBH, for any period under a month. Bubble waiting to burst. 
    Wish i had a spare £3000 I can loose though to have riden the Tesla E-train as I would have x4 my money at least!!.

    The Scottish Mortgage Trust went up 7-800% since March. 
     

  2. Like
    KDave reacted to Stacktastic in My first trade - Shell / BP   
    Yeah. Hopefully it will slump nicely for an entry point as I dont think he will be going full steam ahead with banning fracking & stuff until next year. He is going to have to lock down a very scared or angry (or both) continent soon I think - & feed the sheep with dollars to pacify them  . Opec meeting more often could also present opportunities on sell offs. 

    Vaccine rollout I think is a key momentum - Oil should shoot up as people go back to work and start travelling by air as a lot more people will be buying cars instead of travelling on trains etc. Also its about time for another war & if im not wrong they might be trying to instigate one with themselves. Idiots. 

    Interesting about fracking in the UK, I cant see that being adopted on mass LOL. 

    Energy should do well in the event of market collapse, wars, inflation or what ever else thats cooked up. Plus like metals its linked strongly to spot prices & its very sensitive to world stuff/supply/demand so present great buy in periods. I have copper & silver now for renewables - thats done, I want oil exposure (BP/shell/WTI/BRENT), natural gas (energy transfer) & uranium (cameco) over the next 2 years. 

    Where else would you look for gas investments?? Only just starting my journey really, but i have time on my side, im watching and waiting, might take a few months to hit bottom if it does!!. If I have missed anything obvious let me know. 
  3. Like
    KDave reacted to Paul in Silver Monitoring Thread £ (GBP) only.   
    Back down to £10 an oz again by March  - the joys of silver ! 
  4. Like
    KDave got a reaction from Drawga in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    I get a feeling a lot of people are being herded into bitcoin instead of gold and silver. 
  5. Like
    KDave got a reaction from AuricGoldfinger in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    I get a feeling a lot of people are being herded into bitcoin instead of gold and silver. 
  6. Like
    KDave got a reaction from PapaLazarou in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    I get a feeling a lot of people are being herded into bitcoin instead of gold and silver. 
  7. Like
    KDave reacted to Kman in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    I'm guessing gold and silver went up for fear that there wouldn't be a peaceful transition of power in the US
    Now that's all but assured they're easing off
  8. Haha
    KDave got a reaction from MancunianStacker in What will the price of Gold be (£/GBP) on 1st Jan 2022   
    No I'm not selling mate I'm dreaming. Pay no attention. 
  9. Sad
    KDave got a reaction from Paul in What will the price of Gold be (£/GBP) on 1st Jan 2022   
    I reckon we get down to £1100 an ounce during the big one and finish 2021 pushing £1300. 
  10. Like
    KDave reacted to Chorlton in What will the price of Gold be (£/GBP) on 1st Jan 2022   
    £1,200 assuming the pound doesn't collapse post Brexit.
  11. Haha
    KDave reacted to Jvw in What will the price of Gold be (£/GBP) on 1st Jan 2022   
    I did some math, added the risk of a virus, deducted some tears and compared it to the fear-level. Extracted the lockdown, multiplied with Brexit minus the square root of the deal. Then I took in account that gold is shiny, yellowish and heavy. Making me round it up to a nice round number:
    = Gold will be £1643,87 on the first of jan 2022. 
    Ratio GBP 1,00 / Euro 1,04
  12. Like
    KDave reacted to Paul in What will the price of Gold be (£/GBP) on 1st Jan 2022   
    As most of us will be off work until new year now 
    A bit daft laugh.
    Pop your predictions for where gold will be in a years time in 1st Jan 2022, add your reasoning to if you like
    Higher? Low?
    will be it 1:1 with bitcoin?
    With me be in government re-education camps for daring to think outside of the box ?
    Is the Euro gonna crumble next year?
    Is the $ dollar gonna go tits up?
    Will be nice to revisit this thread in a years time see who was 'most' right and on point
    ...........
    Me?
    We started 2020 with gold at £1,150  peaked at £1,575 in August.
    We are probably going to see the year pan out around to £1400oz for gold for the sake of easy maths
    Equates to a roughly +20% upside for the year 2020 in GBP
    I don't see this COVID world population & liberties control experiment going away, especially now with these 'new strains' invisible boogie-woogey men to fear us being launched this past week and new tiers.
    I think we can expect pretty much of the same next year. More grey doom and gloom little to find cheers in.
    Add some scary numbers of economics and costs of this "great reset" we will live through.
    Expect some extra Brexit fall-out damage to the price of £ on sterling to against $/euro
    I will predict another +25% added to the gold price for this year, so i will say spot will be £1,750  on 1st Jan next year 2022 
  13. Like
    KDave reacted to dicker in Silver Monitoring Thread £ (GBP) only.   
    USD900BN will not be the end of it....I suspect that further stimulus will support silver further
    Best
    Dicker
  14. Like
    KDave reacted to HighlandTiger in My first trade - Shell / BP   
    This may have nullified any usual price drop.
    https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Oil-Wells-On-Fire-After-Attack-On-Iraqi-Oilfield.html
  15. Like
    KDave reacted to Oldun in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    Bitcoin will hit $27,000 eventually maybe next year as taxes start to bite etc etc and people around the world think it is a way to hide money.....
     
    I have a $2,300-$2,700 target for gold in 2021 and a $40 for silver which will be significant in £ as I expect the £ to drop.
  16. Like
    KDave got a reaction from Kman in My first trade - Shell / BP   
    https://seekingalpha.com/article/4393893-oil-prices-brush-off-nasty-storage-build-and-what-this-means-going-forward
    This is the only article I could find that wasn't just a rehash of the data without analysis. 
  17. Like
    KDave reacted to Kman in My first trade - Shell / BP   
    Oil inventories in the US up to 15 million barrels, I don't know how that's even happened with the reduced production, demand must be very weak
    https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/eia-crude-oil-inventories-75

  18. Like
    KDave got a reaction from Roy in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    Getting paid to learn is always good.
    I would say waiting for the low you will never get in. Very very rare to tag the bottom. I don't have the answer, what I do is set a target I want invested, for example say you want X amount in a sector, X amount in a company and then start to cost average in, setting some cash aside for buying lower target prices, until reaching full allocation. The target can change but it's a good guideline. This process worked very well with BP and Total, but I bought too much shell around 10 per share with money set aside for the 9's. When it got to 8.96 I only had cash for a few so my average is higher than it needed to be. Lesson learned. Who knows maybe we get another try. 
    The point on wishing you had put more in the winners, this is hindsight bias. It's not helpful. If you focus on this, tomorrow you may decide to put more into a future loser than you otherwise might have, because you remember your hesitation on the last winner. There is no way to know. Just stick to the plan imo. 
  19. Like
    KDave reacted to Stacktastic in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    Im still ruminating & formulating.

    If I could go back I would: 

    1: have waited for the low on BP & SHELL. 
    2: Not have bought all the different mining stocks and waited for the recent lows.
    3: I did quite well with WTI, so cant complain there (I bought on the low sold recently). 
    4: I would have put a LOT more money into greatland when it was low at 13p - I averaged 18p & missed the bus a bit. 
    5: I would have waited for MAG to hit a low or saved more funds so I could cost avenge, although I think that will take a dive soon. 

    There is a running theme here! Wait to buy and wait to sell, be more patient. 
    I could be cashing out some decent profits with shell & BP now, but hey ho. 

    Oh well. Im in profit overall (not sure how much?) & £500 up on Greatland atm (£800 invested).

    Good lessons & no risk & a free tube of brits so far!! 😛
    Lets make it an OZ or two of gold next year. 

    I am starting to think the one investment to make would be Bitcoin if that really rebounds!! 
  20. Haha
    KDave reacted to Oldun in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    Indeed. Pays yer money, takes yer choice  Good luck, good trading.
     
     
  21. Like
    KDave reacted to Heirlooms in Today I Received.....   
    Thanks to @ChardsCoinandBullionDealer for the 1974 Machin (and candy bar!). Will get this off to @Numistacker for grading
     

  22. Like
    KDave reacted to Shinus73 in Today I Received.....   
    Like a few others, took advantage of the RM 50% off Black Friday deal.

  23. Like
    KDave reacted to HerefordBullyun in My first trade - Shell / BP   
    Ive read the comments above. One thing I've learned and I'm a rookie. Is be grounded. Be prepared to take a risk but do it with balance. Emotional trading will kill you. I've caught falling knives from doing it.
    Research is key. And that underpins the trade you excute. I only have minimal Holdings in a portfolio. If you have multiple holdings then you can't track them. Why? Because I target them specific. You have to go granular.
    Being all over the place in all different sectors is crazy. You are a jack of all trades master of none. I am staying with metal miners. When I pull out of that. I will look at green energy. 
    I spent 23 years in the military and one thing I learned is have a plan and make sure it's viable and realistic.  Again this underpins your trade.
    But don't be afraid to cut your losses and exploit. 
    Trading takes focus. 
    I work in the corporate world now.
    They have designated traders in one sector, that's for a reason.  If you are looking at multiple markets you are taking your eye off the opportunity.
    If you stay in lane you will be good.
    Going mad on multiple sectors is bonkers.
    The quickest thing I've learned also is patience over emotions.
    Lastly have a strategy and plan and stick to it - discipline is key with patience.
    Edited to add look at simply wall st as they have analysts that give that granular view.
     
     
     
  24. Like
    KDave reacted to Kman in My first trade - Shell / BP   
    I used to think that now I'm not so sure
    some people have a natural talent for entrepreneurial and investing activities the same as some people are naturally good at maths, music etc
    Maybe because you're inclined to it you're judging everyone by your own standards but it's the same as if you ask a random person to sing they're most likely going to be bad
    I think most people are doomed to buy at the top sucked in by momentum and sell on the way down, but for there to be winners there have to be losers so I appreciate everyone who does that and hopefully I can avoid that pitfall myself
  25. Like
    KDave reacted to HighlandTiger in My first trade - Shell / BP   
    If they are going into lending, then I'm definitely keeping away. I was lucky to not get burned in the lending P2P disasters of the  previous years. 
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