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JasonDavies

Gold Premium Member
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  1. Haha
    JasonDavies reacted to Gordy in Can I recognise fake silver coins?   
    if you get into the habit of checking genuine sites for their stock photos so you know what they are supposed to look like and always test them when they arrive, this fake one you linked to probably wont weigh 1oz, there were fake funnel web ones knocking around and they weighed 20 odd grams and you could tell just by the feel of them
    the ebay one you linked has really dodgy detail and the koala's face looks like he's just been caught knocking one out to a pornhub video!!!!
  2. Thanks
    JasonDavies reacted to GoldDiggerDave in A safe place to park 100k?   
    Cash out, down size and become mortgage  free if you are not all ready.  It's nice to have investments and look like a finical whizz sometimes the most boring and conservative actions will serve you better in the long term.   Paying off all debt is a life changer and no one owns you.
    We are all programmed to think we are better off when we earn more money,  the reality we are far more better off when we are paying less out.  I look at reducing outgoing as increasing my income value.    
    Money is not fungible like it's  taught.   A £10 note in ones persons hands is not worth £10 in the next persons when you look at income/outgoings ratio. 
    £10 in my hands =  3.33% of my monthly outgoings commitment 
    £10 in my friends hands = 0.66% of his monty outgoings 
    He needs to earn £50 per hour to everyone of my £10 per hour just to keep the same ratio.  
    I know some people with great jobs earning loads but their outings are moronic and what for a 4x4 and a bigger house?    We make ourselves slaves no one else needs to do it for us.  
     
     
     
     
     
     
  3. Haha
    JasonDavies reacted to Stu in A safe place to park 100k?   
    50k on hookers and cocaine, then do something frivolous with the rest😄
    I wouldn’t draw down unless you have a strong proposition mate. I was considering drawing from my mortgage to get a wind turbine. Reckon it would pay for itself in around  8 years, especially if fuel prices keep going up. I’m really on the fence, especially as noticed the early repayment charge on the new mortgage offer sits at 5% for the 5 year term. Always check the details. 
  4. Haha
    JasonDavies reacted to sixgun in Dealers asking for identification details AFTER payment?   
    You have my sympathy - so many of us are having tragic boating accidents these days.
  5. Thanks
    JasonDavies reacted to ChrisSilver in Welcome to 2022, a look back at 2021 on TSF! 2022 membership prices.   
    TSF is the largest independent English speaking worldwide Precious Metals forum in the world. There are currently over 16,690 registered members. We have a wide range of industry specialists and dealers on the forum. We are very proud of all of the members here that regularly provide helpful and informative information for others and go out of their way to help out fellow members of TSF. We are also likely the fastest growing, take a look at our statistics for yourself:
     
    Overall 2021 Statistics:

    TSF remains one of the most active communities online for people discussing precious metals and it's still growing. 

    11,673 new topics started on The Silver Forum in 2021. That is the equivalent of 31 new topics per day!

    101,259 new posts were made on The Silver Forum in 2021. That is the equivalent of over 277 new posts per day!
    3490 new member registrations in 2021




    Prize Draws:

    As well as 12 months of Premium Member Prize Draws, each giving away 1oz of silver to a lucky winner there was also over 24oz of additional silver prizes given away. There were also a lot of charity auctions ran by our members to help raise money for causes that are close to their hearts as well as other charities. We hope to increase the number of Prize Draws and draws to promote TSF as our budget allows. 
     
     
    2021 Trade Statistics:

    A core part of TSF is the trade section. Many Premium Members have reported saving more than the cost of membership simply by the savings on the items they have purchased from other forum members. Many members also prefer the personal touch of dealing directly with other members. As well as the other listed benefits, Premium Members also get to see the trade listings 3 days before standard members, and with many if not all items that are priced competitively going within this time frame it is worth upgrading to get first look at this items for sale.

    7927 trade topics were started in 2021. That is over 21 new trade listings per day. Some of these were wanted listings, but with the majority of ‘for sale’ listings containing multiple items and some containing extensive collections for sale as individual items, it means the items listed for sale far exceed this number. That is over 660 new trade listings per month! This arguably makes TSF’s trade section the largest precious metals trade section of any forum or group.


    Some other notable things that happened on TSF in 2021:

    - We released a TSF branded NGC label & partnership with Coins of the Realm to provide trustworthy NGC grading services and auction submissions for members.

    - We released the Platinum Offers Program for selected dealers programme, extending the benefits for Platinum Members without any increase to membership cost. We also simultaneously introduced a higher tier Platinum PLUS Premium Membership package in order to provide extended Platinum Offers and discounts.

    - TSF migrated to faster servers with better worldwide distribution and page loading speeds, meanwhile also increasing the security from potential DDOS attacks. The servers that we use are used by many large scale European businesses. 

    - TSF starting paying for a dedicated email distribution system that large scale businesses use. There is now an additional cost for us to send out emails and email notifications, however it means that notifications can now be delivered more quickly and without delays or backlogs during peak periods.

    - We welcomed several new Official Sponsors, a full list of current Official Sponsors, and dealer sub forums can be seen here. 
     


    Committed to maintaining a FREE standard membership option, with optional Premium Membership with low prices and high value for money.
    We are committed to maintaining a FREE membership option for those who can’t afford to financially support TSF but would still like to be a member. We are also not increasing Premium Membership prices despite a predicted inflation of over 5% this year in the UK, and inflation in many other countries worldwide also set to increase.

    We do however need your help to help support TSF to grow further. For those who can afford to do so, we would be grateful if you are able to support TSF with a Premium Membership. We hope that TSF has been useful for you in some way, either via the information found here, or the deals you have got in the trade section, or the additional monies received by selling in the trade section vs selling to a dealer, please consider upgrading your membership today to support TSF. For those that decide to purchase Premium Membership, a whole range of additional benefits is included in each package. Please review each package for a full list of included benefits.
     

    Thank you
    Thank you to all of the Moderators who help to maintain the forum and keep it tidy for everyone. Thank you to the members who help out by reporting content that is in the wrong place and needs to be moved, as this means that we can tidy it up more quickly. Thank you to @BackyardBullion for your partnership and the production of the TSF branded hand poured pieces, and for the high quality of these pieces and the workmanship that goes into this. Thank you to the sponsors and advertisers of TSF. 


    Thank you to all of the members of TSF. A special thank you to all members who choose to support TSF with a Premium Membership. An extra special thank you to those who decide to purchase one of our Platinum Group Membership levels which greatly helps to support TSF further, we are also working with dealers to provide more discounts for Platinum Group Members, we already have 14 dealers in the list and hope to eventually grow this worldwide. For a full list of available discounts for Platinum Premium Groups Members please see here.



    Premium Membership Packages:

    Discounts available when buying yearly membership options vs monthly, please click through each package below to see full details.
     
     
     
     
     
  6. Haha
    JasonDavies got a reaction from Jvw in We are saved..Gold set to double in price!   
    Gold has been around forever.
    The Christmas pudding originated around the 14th century.
    But Tescos started sometime just after the first world war.
    So, I imagine that the Gold to Tescos Christmas pudding ratio has only been with us for about 100 years.
     
    However, Woolworths started in 1879 and in some countries the Woolworths Matured Christmas Pudding is still available.
    I think that as the Gold to Woolworths Christmas pudding ratio has more history to it then it may be a more reliable indicator.
  7. Haha
    JasonDavies got a reaction from CANV in We are saved..Gold set to double in price!   
    Gold has been around forever.
    The Christmas pudding originated around the 14th century.
    But Tescos started sometime just after the first world war.
    So, I imagine that the Gold to Tescos Christmas pudding ratio has only been with us for about 100 years.
     
    However, Woolworths started in 1879 and in some countries the Woolworths Matured Christmas Pudding is still available.
    I think that as the Gold to Woolworths Christmas pudding ratio has more history to it then it may be a more reliable indicator.
  8. Haha
    JasonDavies got a reaction from Pete in We are saved..Gold set to double in price!   
    Gold has been around forever.
    The Christmas pudding originated around the 14th century.
    But Tescos started sometime just after the first world war.
    So, I imagine that the Gold to Tescos Christmas pudding ratio has only been with us for about 100 years.
     
    However, Woolworths started in 1879 and in some countries the Woolworths Matured Christmas Pudding is still available.
    I think that as the Gold to Woolworths Christmas pudding ratio has more history to it then it may be a more reliable indicator.
  9. Like
    JasonDavies reacted to Pete in We are saved..Gold set to double in price!   
    Gold may double in price mathematically by way of a simple example -
    A Christmas pudding from Tescos today costs £5
    A gram of gold today costs £43
    So you can buy 8 puddings and expect some change swapping a gram of fine gold.
    If the gold price remains "unchanged in real terms" but the pound depreciates 50% through (a) printing swathes more fiat and (b) high inflation -
    That Christmas pudding bought next Xmas could be priced at £10 and a gram of gold will have risen to £86.
    Comparing the price of gold in a year - yes it may have doubled, but the purchasing power of your pound will have halved.
    To some of us old-timers who have experienced high inflation but lifesaving 30% annual play rises to make up for this, the value of gold has not really increased so much as charts would suggest ignoring inflation and exchange rates but it has certainly retained its value meaning real purchasing power.
  10. Haha
    JasonDavies reacted to LawrenceChard in HMRC Trawling for Sellers using Social Media   
    But, you almost certainly don't pay your share.
    You are in Scotland, which is subsidised by the English, so you probably only pay about 90% of your share, and I am paying some of the balance.
    I can't wait for English Independence.
    Come to think of it, perhaps I ought to stand for Parliamentary election again. 😎
  11. Thanks
    JasonDavies reacted to westminstrel in The Royal Tudor Beasts - Royal Mint Launch Event, Oct 7   
    For those who need an education in these beasts (like myself!) here’s something from Wikipedia.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hampton_Court_Palace#King.27s_Beasts
    There are ten statues of heraldic animals, called the King's Beasts, that stand on the bridge over the moat leading to the great gatehouse. Unlike the Queen's Beasts in Kew Gardens, these statues represent the ancestry of King Henry VIII and his third wife Jane Seymour. The animals are:
    1. the Lion of England
    2. the Seymour Lion
    3. the Royal Dragon
    4. the Black Bull of Clarence
    5. the Yale of Beaufort
    6. the White Lion of Mortimer
    7. the White Greyhound of Richmond
    8. the Tudor Dragon
    9. the Seymour Panther
    10. the Seymour Unicorn.
    Quite of a few of the beasts are the same as the Queen’s Beasts. I suppose they will have different depictions for the new series. I’m also curious who the designer will be.
  12. Like
    JasonDavies reacted to Pete in Why are gold prices dropping?   
    Precious metals are commodities and prices fluctuate according to International markets.
    Everyone knows there is great volatility ... and risk ... to trading commodities.
    Prices can rise and fall according to "sentiment" and "global events" as investors, big financial institutions mainly, try to make money.
    Gold in some eyes is a safer haven for some governments to store assets since their fiat currency can be hit by exchange rates, inflation and quantitative easing.
    Check the historic charts so see just how flat in some eras and how rapidly ( on investment timescales ) prices can change.
    So called "experts" will search for explanations and fit some random event to a price fluctuation that to us mere muggles appears plausible but in reality the market is manipulated by bankers trying to make big bucks irrespective of whether prices rise or fall as they earn their commissions on the first derivative ( school calculus ).
    To us stackers we convince ourselves that gold ( and other PMs ) is an alternative to preserving wealth compared to cash so when gold etc falls significantly then this is your buying opportunity if you believe in the long term value of PMs. If you are nervous then buying PMs is not for you.
    Many stackers that dipped into PMs relatively recently have seen their stack rise quite quickly in value so when the gloss starts to crack, panic can set in.
    No-one likes to see prices fall but buy on the dips and be prepared to hold for the long term meaning 5+ more years or longer.
    As for the future you might as well throw a dart and convince yourself that an even number will see a price increase whereas an odd number will see a fall.
    This is as good a method as listening to the "pundits" and financial folks who cannot predict the trend as something will always buck the trend and a statement will follow in hindsight - so I believe and have experienced.
  13. Like
    JasonDavies reacted to Tn21 in What is the end game?   
    There is no end game with AU as it will not make you rich, it will simply preserve your lifestyle. 
     
  14. Haha
    JasonDavies reacted to HerefordBullyun in What is the end game?   
    The end game is when Mr Herefordbullyun is driving round in chauffer driven bentley. Having his feet rubbed by balinese madiens!
  15. Like
    JasonDavies reacted to westminstrel in New coins coming soon.   
    @ChrisSilver - I have to say that you and the other mods are doing a terrific job moderating this forum and especially making it welcoming to new members.
    I recently joined another forum for stamps (as that is my other interest), and I got my first post deleted, and verbally abused over email by a moderator - because my post was deemed “gibberish”, and I was wasting their time asking for an explanation why. I apologised anyway but suggested they try to be more courteous in their communication, at which point I was called petulant and told to “sod off”. 🤦🏻‍♂️ 
     
    As a moderator of a Tolkien forum, I get how demanding this job can be especially since one volunteers time and effort that is often overlooked, so I needed to say THANK YOU for making this forum a really pleasant place. Honestly it’s not common to find a community where there’s so much goodwill, and it flows from the founders and mods. 🙂
  16. Like
    JasonDavies reacted to GoldStandardPartyUK in Price of Silver   
    Some different approaches to making your own silver price target;
    1. Take a look at the historic 100+ year gold to silver (GSR) price chart, decide for yourself what is a good ratio, then take price of gold and divide by the ratio. 
    2. Take the gold price then divide by the ratio of the weight of all the investment gold which exists to the weight of all the investment silver. 
    3. Take Gold price and divide by the ratio of gold being minded to silver being mined
    4. Study monetary history to find a date when you think silver price was correct, then simply adjust this price accounting for inflation. e.g. dates I've seen from people who attempt this are 1913 as pre USA Federal Reserve (see USdebtclock.org), or 1944 Bretton Woods, or 1947 UK abandons the silver standard, or 1971 USA abandons bretton woods
  17. Like
    JasonDavies reacted to ShropshireTom in Price of Silver   
    Well that’s an interesting question without a simple answer! At its most basic, silver - like all metals and most commodities - has a spot price. That’s the market valuation of a resource in a readily utilisable form - I’ve spent most of my career in metal (not PM’s though) and spot prices are very widely used as a staple price guide. From there, there is the spread - the % difference that dealers will buy and sell at and so make their profit. For PM’s this may be relatively small, up to 5% for gold but often a couple of percent. For copper and titanium, to use as random examples, this may be as high as 20% depending on several factors.
    The spot price is not guided by simple supply and demand, though it does have an effect. It is rather more heavily impacted by market sentiment and outlook. For example, I traded several millions of pounds worth of copper when demand was relatively low but economic outlook for the Far East was very good and prices were correspondingly high. Careful timing led to a handsome profit for my employer.
    With PM’s, there’s a lot of other factors. The form of the Silver plays a big part. Bars, coins and bulk ingots carry differing premiums. Proof silver of a rare coin such as a Libertad will carry a much heavier premium than a cast kilo bar. I won’t comment on the vagaries of PM markets as I would be commenting on a hobby that I find interesting rather than from a place of experience and knowledge. Maybe my knowledgable friend @Pete could offer some of his wealth of knowledge on this subject as his knowledge of the PM world is surpassed only by his generosity of time spent assisting those of us with less experience. @BackyardBullion and @ChrisSilver also offer very sage words indeed on the subject. I can whole heartedly recommend @BackyardBullion YouTube channel for a source of bullsh1t free refreshingly level headed information and opinion.
    Finally, decide the reason for your foray into the PM market. A store of value is a very real and well guided reason for PM investment. Timing the market and trying to win big is not necessarily the best reason reason - though it has been done and undoubtedly can be done again with sufficient research and dedication. Hope that helps you out a bit.
  18. Like
    JasonDavies reacted to sixgun in Price of Silver   
    i was once asked to write a presentation on what the value of silver was. i spent quite a long time thinking about this and decided there was no clear answer. 
    As a matter of fact the precious metal markets are heavily manipulated. Gold and silver are real money and so rivals to fiat. 
    The trading houses are given a free rein to pursue many market antics, protected by the regulators and central banks. Some of the large banks like JP Morgan act for the Fed and so are acting for the Exchange Stabilisation Fund. 
    In these circumstances we do not know what the fair price is of precious metals b/c true price discovery doesn't happen and people use the spot price as a guide when the spot price is in reality a paper price which is rigged.
    There are many factors which lead some people to believe precious metals will appreciate due to inflation and in real terms. Andrew Maguire has for some time stated the changes flowing for Basel III will result in a revaluation of gold. Not many agreed in the beginning but more are agreeing now. Gold and silver are linked - they are both real money.
    The Wall Street Silver movement is actually having an effect and is going from strength to strength. A lot of focus is given to Sprott PSLV - the PSLV is now taking 50% of the investment physical silver. It has more silver than the registered silver in the COMEX. 
    There are many demands for silver for 'Green energy' and general electronics. This is not going to go away any time soon. 
    The value of silver is whatever someone is willing to sell for and someone else is willing to pay them. 
    Silver is a longer term investment - first know where you would sell the silver and what it would cost you to sell. You might ultimately feel it is most cost effective to buy PSLV (remember the P - this is not the scammy ETF called SLV). As i say silver is worth what someone will pay you. A dealer will pay bottom book price. So know a community you can sell easily and at a fair price. Then if you pay a fair price in the first place you will profit from price appreciation.

    In the USA, the American Eagle is the most popular coin. With the high demand for physical, the ASE has gone up a lot. You can sell ASE's all day long in the States - they are expensive but they should be easy to sell. Like for example gold sovereigns are easy to sell on The Silver Forum with most of the members being in the UK. 
    Best value generally comes for larger bars.
    Having a mix of Constitutional silver, silver rounds, basic mint coins and bars is a good idea. Get involved in a community where silver is being traded and go for basic silver. Nothing fancy. You might get stuff that is fancy but only as you get more experienced. Some of the more expensive items i have bought in the past have doubled and more but you need to know what you are doing and until you do get basic silver. Remember it is a longer term investment - YEARS and you should find outlets where you can sell - which generally means not direct to dealers. Be careful of ebay.
  19. Like
    JasonDavies reacted to BackyardBullion in What's driving the recent gold rally?   
    I definitely feel it's the inflation fear and for me that has certainly been the driving force over my accumulation of gold
    😉

  20. Haha
    JasonDavies reacted to richatthecroft in Something special tomorrow - 10 Queen’s Beasts   
    Stunner- looks a good 'un
    The dust is obligatory from the RM! and at no extra cost 😂 
  21. Like
    JasonDavies reacted to ScentSationCandles in Perth Mint Crisis Update   
    (This is not quite what you were asking about, but having reread it, I'm not going to delete it, although the last paragraph comes close to what you're asking. The short answer is, above ground, unpurchased silver might be more rare at the moment. Below the ground, I don't know that anyone has an idea, but the final paragraph provides insight how silver would likely be rarer than gold before the end of the century.)
     
    Here is an example that might give you more perspective and I will follow it up with a link. The value of silver has been manipulated a lot more than gold. It isn't that silver should be worth more than gold. It is that more is to be gained percentage-wise from owning silver. That is, should we be returned to a precious metals standard worldwide. I will point out that presently that would appear to be a very big if.
    So these are the figures behind why silver has greater potential, but these are only United States figures: usdebtclock.org/gold-precious-metals.html.
    It should be noted too that these are the official numbers. There was a news story about a college professor in my state who discovered a further discrepancy of 21 trillion dollars. Also the day before 9/11, Donald Rumsfeld announced a major discrepancy of trillions and the documents were supposedly stored at the Pentagon where the alleged planes allegedly crashed, making no claim one way or the other concerning the details of the official story. It's thought by some that an ounce of gold could be reevaluated at 100k. Whether that is true or not, no idea, but I do know that currently that is a little more than 7x the silver than gold, so theoretically, if gold is 100k US an ounce, silver--based on the numbers of silver bullion in the US--silver would be 14k an ounce. Again those numbers sound outrageous.
    Another thing to consider. About 15% of gold is used industrially. 50% of silver is used industrially. Solar as well as electric cars depend heavily upon silver and copper, two technologies that have yet to achieve wide adoption. Of course a lot of other electronics use these metals as well, and one would be foolish to believe that no other tech in the future would use these metals, so the likelihood that silver could eventually be rarer than gold is not out of the question. Will it happen in our lifetimes? Not sure, but it doesn't have to because, when the people own a majority of the silver, the corporations will have to come to us and pay our prices or they won't be able to meet demand which means that holding silver, even for a poor normie, will make us very rich if we live long enough. Of course you can't eat silver, so make sure to have an extra freezer fully stocked with food or you might not live long enough to see it.
  22. Thanks
    JasonDavies reacted to pricha in Silver Trader   
    Top bloke is Martin . He is not happy with the quality of the new Robin Hoods from the Royal Mint and has priced them accordingly . That's an honest seller. As he is a one man business  he is struggling with the amount of orders at the moment , but for regular customers the service is still very fast . 
  23. Thanks
    JasonDavies reacted to Bluenitsuj in Silver Trader   
    Bought loads from him. Excellent service always. Just received 5 x 2021 rectangular dragon bars in the post today from him. Only bought them Monday. 
  24. Thanks
    JasonDavies reacted to TheShinyStuff in Silver Trader   
    I've bought from Martin @ silvertrader many times. Great seller, normally among the best prices around. I know he's been restricting sales to existing customers only recently because of all the craziness, but I'd email him and ask if you can set up an account. Worth getting an account in any case, be it now or later.
    You could also place a wanted in the trade section here, you'll likely find what you're after.
  25. Thanks
    JasonDavies reacted to dicker in Query for new woried investors   
    Long term hold - whilst the price of Ag and Au is interesting, I really don't care - I'm in it for the long haul.
    Since starting buying, I have sold nothing.
    Best
    Dicker
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