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vand

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vand last won the day on March 28 2016

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About vand

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  1. Not got a lot of spare cashish this month, but I took the opportunity to buy an additional 20oz on this morning's dip.
  2. Everyone being degree-education in maths and econ is the reason we're in this mess in the first place and why we stack silver! I did Econometrics at LSE so feel fairly qualified to say this. Still remember my first lecture where this idiot professor started waffling on about liquidity curves and animal spirits. Duh. Not a dig at Levi personally, just at the system. I'm sure he recognises the shortcomings of the study of economics in academia. Good luck with the book!
  3. Look.... I have nothing against pandas, unicorns, sea krackens, eagles, turtles, cougars, owls, wolves, penguins, sea lions, space martians or any other form of wildlife either real or mythical... rumour has it that I may even own a few myself... but I just wanted to say that at the end of the day IT'S ALL JUST SILVER. Just wanted to get that off my chest! thanks!
  4. Even Rightmove, the most bullish of Indexes, and a proxy for seller expectations has taken a haircut in the last month: http://uk.businessinsider.com/rightmove-uk-house-prices-record-first-june-fall-since-2009-2017-6 UK -0.4% London -2.4% If you are heavily leveraged in UK property right now then god help you.
  5. Couple of good races at Royal Ascot to smash for EW arbs: Tues 4:20 - St James's Palace Stakes Fri 4:20 - Coronation Stakes So long as they remain 8 runners or more then you will easily be able to get each way arbs on these race
  6. Official inflation now 2.9%, 4 year high. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-40259392 You know it's real when they start talking about it on Football forums.
  7. I have eToro ads for Bitcoin and Ethereum all over my facebook feed. I think once they are pitching for the shoeshiners on social media then it's as sure a sign of a bubble top as you can get.
  8. I don't really understand how people are recommending the QB when it's basically a new coin with no meaningful history. By all means buy it if you like the look of it, but don't listen to any talk of "potential" because it's totally unproven. But I would say it's better to stick to the basics. Don't get carried away trying to chase potential - gold is primarily for insurance, not speculation.
  9. I'm gonna be conventional and say just get some 1oz coins. They're much more interesting than bars imo, command lower premium if you buy them from the right place, and offer the best risk/reward in terms of potential premium growth. Bars make more sense for US buyers looking to maximize their ounces.
  10. Depending on your precisely you draw the line, there is argument to be made that at the current price of $1295 we are currently ABOVE the very long term downtrend line that goes back to the 2011 peak. Next couple of sessions will be interesting and should confirm/deny it one way or another, either we hold here or even inch higher, in which case it would confirm the break of the downtrend... or we go back down (yet again).
  11. Don't make the mistake of thinking that the tail is wagging the dog. PMs prices are set in USD as the world reserve currency and it is the strength of the dollar which primarily provides head or tailwind for PMs. USD has fallen against the GBP but it has also fallen against the basket of currencies. GBP is just a sideshow in the overall scheme of things, and I doubt that the market really cares too much which party forms a government on Friday. FWIW I am anticipating a short term bounce in USD sooner rather than later, but also that we are at the start of a longer term downtrend that will see USD going much lower in the next few years.. although I think Sterling will also be quite weak, we had our cataclysmic year in 2016 from that point of view.
  12. 25oz ordered yesterday as I make a start on the 2nd thousand. Noticed that my average price was a quid or so higher than the previous few batches, so last months price drop has worked out very nicely for us disciplined stackers!
  13. USD price looking very good. Looks like it wants to have a go at $1300. Dollar looks more and more like it is entering a bear market every session that it fails to meaningfully rally.
  14. Nigel Marriot's blog is as good as any out there for political forecasting, athough his model is somewhat more pro-Con than most. https://marriott-stats.com/nigels-blog/
  15. I think a Con majority of 70. Labour have had a better campaign than they could ever have expected which will prevent a landslide, but when push comes to shove we all know that Middle England doesn't really do socialism, and the electorate won't have forgotten how the parliamentary Labour party has been riddled with infighting and trying to usurp its leader for the last 18 months. I also think that, in today's social-media driven world where virtue signalling is the thing to do, it only drives "shy Tories" underground even more, and that, despite whatever adjustments they have made to their models since 2015, they are very likely to understate Con support ever more. The Left haven't engaged any serious debate, they just shout louder, so the Con supporters just go into their bunker, don't even bother to talk to pollsters, and instead do their talking in the voting booth. Also, recent terror attacks have focussed the mind... can you really imagine Diane Abbott dealing with a national terror alert?